I read an article in Time magazine a few months back about the living conditions for the poorer regions of Bangladesh... Mothers are worried about their children drowning, because they have to live near and sometimes in the water's tides. Some cannot sleep at night, because they are left standing in a few feet of water. The wealthy often enjoy their waterfront mansions by choice. Can you imagine being forced to live even closer to that waterfront in a shack where tides often rise inside your house?!
100 Years to an Ice-Free Arctic?
The article in Time was actually pointing out areas that would be adversly affected by global warming. My mind revisited the topic due to an article posted today by C|Net's News.com (great domain name C|Net!!!) titled "Arctic could see ice-free summers in 100 years". Now, before everyone freaks out, always remember that scientists use expiriments to determine outcomes. They then plot their results and attempt to identify patterns and trends in the data worth investigating further. After much analysis, they attempt to come up with a likely forecast for the future. If I were to investigate how influential sex was in advertising, the results would speak for themselves. But, throw in ALL of the factors of earth's climate and add in ALL of the factors humans have introduced to the climate, not including what humans might bring to the climate tomorrow or next week, and then try to make educated assumptions about the climate throughout history and add them into the mix, you get a delicious soup recipe for making predictions about future climatic change!
How likely is it?
Using the history of Earth and the relatively recent development of human "dominance" can give us a TON of incredibly interesting scenarios for the future. But, it tells us very little about the realities of tomorrow. Tomorrow will "probably" be like today. I don't wish to downplay anything that we know impacts our opportunities for today and the future. I certainly respect the work of these scientists and their constant desire to explain our universe. I even respect their results that explain ice-free summers in the arctic. But, I don't and will not assume that it will happen. It's a guess and science has been wrong many, many times. Did I mention many?
My Conclusion
After absorbing all of this information, I am drenched in oil! Our use of oil, dependency on oil, and overall consumption of oil needs to change drastically. Regardless of climatic change! The issue regarding oil is known around the world, so I'll simply repeat myself... Our use of oil, dependency on oil, and overall consumption of oil needs to change drastically.